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Semaglutide Reviews: The Trial Published a Standard Deviation, and It Is Bigger Than Most People's Result

STEP 1 reported a mean weight change of −15.6% with a standard deviation of 10.1 percentage points. Half the treated group reached 15%, a third reached 20%, and about one in seven did not reach 5%. The average is the one number a review cannot use.

Ronald R · Edited by Caroline S · Published 2026-09-14

Illustration: A measuring tape and a weight on a wooden surface, lit by soft, natural light.
Illustration

Most reviews of this drug quote one number: about 15% of body weight, at 68 weeks. It is the right number and it is nearly useless to an individual reader, because the trial that produced it also published how widely the result varied — and almost nobody quotes that.

This page is built from the posted results of STEP 1 (NCT03548935), the FDA labels, and the adverse event reporting database, all read on 14 September 2026. It does not carry a score, a star rating or a verdict on whether anyone should take it.

What the trial actually reported

STEP 1 randomised 1,961 adults, 1,306 to semaglutide 2.4 mg weekly and 655 to placebo, for 68 weeks.

Outcome at week 68 Semaglutide 2.4 mg Placebo
Mean change in body weight (in-trial) −15.6% (SD 10.1) −2.8% (SD 6.5)
Mean change (on-treatment) −16.9% (SD 9.4) −3.1% (SD 6.4)
Mean change in waist circumference −14.1 cm (SD 9.6) −4.4 cm (SD 6.9)

The standard deviation is the part worth stopping on. 10.1 percentage points, around a mean of 15.6. In plain terms, the spread of individual results is roughly two thirds the size of the average result. This is not a drug whose effect clusters tightly around its headline.

The distribution, which is what a review needs

The trial published the thresholds as well, and they say the same thing in a form a person can use. Of the 1,212 semaglutide participants with a week-68 measurement:

Weight reduction reached Semaglutide (n=1,212) Placebo (n=577)
at least 5% 1,047 — 86.4% 182 — 31.5%
at least 10% 838 — 69.1% 69 — 12.0%
at least 15% 612 — 50.5% 28 — 4.9%
at least 20% 388 — 32.0% 10 — 1.7%
did not reach 5% 165 — 13.6% 395 — 68.5%

Two rows carry the whole page.

Half the treated group reached 15% — the figure the mean sits near — which means half did not. And 165 people, about one in seven, took semaglutide 2.4 mg for sixty-eight weeks under trial supervision and did not lose 5% of their body weight.

That is the single most useful fact any review of this drug can offer, and it is in the registry record rather than in the abstract. It does not make the drug a poor one; the placebo column, where 68.5% failed to reach 5%, settles that. It makes the average a bad summary.

What it costs, in events rather than dollars

Semaglutide Placebo
Any non-serious adverse event 1,052 of 1,306 — 80.6% 447 of 655 — 68.2%
Serious adverse event 128 of 1,306 — 9.8% 42 of 655 — 6.4%
Deaths 1 1
Completed the trial 1,240 — 94.9% 609 — 93.0%
Withdrew by own decision 26 17

Four in five people on the drug reported at least one adverse event. So did two in three on placebo, which is what an eighteen-month trial looks like in any arm. The gap that matters is the serious-event line: 9.8% against 6.4%.

The completion figures cut against the drug's popular reputation. Under trial conditions — escalation schedule fixed, drug free, a study nurse reachable — 95% of the semaglutide arm finished, and participant-initiated withdrawal was in single-digit percentages. Whatever drives the real-world discontinuation this class is known for, STEP 1 did not capture it, and this page should not be read as evidence that it does not exist.

What the reporting database adds: the reports are about use, not effect

FDA's adverse event system holds 73,001 semaglutide reports. The most-reported terms, read on 14 September 2026:

Term Reports
Nausea 10,674
Off label use 7,325
Vomiting 6,964
Diarrhoea 6,462
Decreased appetite 4,905
Constipation 4,724
Weight decreased 4,487
Impaired gastric emptying 3,558
Product use in unapproved indication 3,483
Blood glucose increased 3,303
Wrong technique in product usage process 3,016
Inappropriate schedule of product administration 2,446

Four of the twelve most-reported terms describe how the drug was used, not what it did. Together they total 16,270 — more than nausea, the leading symptom. Roughly half of all semaglutide reports (36,179 of 73,001, 49.6%) are flagged serious, and 80.3% originate in the United States.

This is the same shape our tirzepatide review found, where the single most-reported term was a dosing error rather than a symptom. Two molecules, two databases, the same signal: a meaningful fraction of what gets reported about these drugs is about the circumstances of their use — compounded supply, off-label indications, escalation schedules people improvised. The database cannot separate those cases, and neither can this page. It can say that they are numerous enough to outrank the drug's most famous side effect.

The problem with the question itself

"Semaglutide reviews" treats the molecule as a product. It is five trade names across four FDA applications and two routes: Ozempic injection, the shared Ozempic tablets and Rybelsus oral line, Wegovy injection in several presentations including Wegovy HD and Wegovy FlexTouch, and Wegovy tablets. Different indications, different dose ceilings, different prices, and — as the oral products' own label arithmetic shows — wildly different amounts of drug to reach a comparable result.

STEP 1 tested one of them: 2.4 mg weekly by injection, in adults with obesity or overweight without diabetes. Everything on this page is that product, in that population.

What this review will not give you

A score. A recommendation. A comparison to tirzepatide dressed as a verdict — the trial evidence on that is STEP 8 and SURMOUNT-5, and it is an evidence question rather than a review one. And any account of what it feels like, which no registry record contains and no honest page can supply from one.

What it gives instead is the distribution. If a reader takes one thing from it, the useful thing is that the published spread around the average is wide enough that the average predicts very little about any individual, and that the trial said so itself.

Sources

ClinicalTrials.gov posted results for NCT03548935 (STEP 1) — participant flow, outcome measures with standard deviations and threshold counts, and the adverse events module — read 14 September 2026 through the registry's v2 interface. FDA prescribing information for Wegovy (effective 2024-04-23), Ozempic injection (2026-07-30) and the Rybelsus/Ozempic tablets label (2026-01-30), and FDA's adverse event reporting system, all via openFDA on the same day. Product and application counts from the FDA Orange Book data files dated 11 September 2026.

Frequently asked questions

How much weight do people actually lose on semaglutide?

The honest answer is a distribution rather than a number. In STEP 1 the mean was -15.6% at 68 weeks, but the trial also published the standard deviation, 10.1 percentage points, and the proportions reaching each threshold. Of 1,212 people with a week-68 result, half reached 15%, about a third reached 20%, and roughly one in seven did not reach 5%. Anyone quoting the average to a specific person is quoting the least informative figure the trial produced.

Does semaglutide work for everyone?

No, and the trial says so in its own results. 165 of 1,212 participants taking semaglutide 2.4 mg for 68 weeks did not reach a 5% weight reduction - the conventional threshold for a clinically meaningful response. That is not a failure of the drug so much as a fact about it: the same treatment produced a 20%-plus reduction in 388 people and under 5% in 165, in one trial, under one protocol, with the dose escalated the same way.

Do people stop taking it because of side effects?

Less often than the reputation suggests, at least under trial conditions. 94.9% of the semaglutide arm completed STEP 1, against 93.0% on placebo, and participant withdrawal accounted for 26 discontinuations on drug against 17 on placebo. Side effects were common - 80.6% reported at least one non-serious adverse event, against 68.2% on placebo - but in a monitored trial with a fixed escalation schedule and free drug, most people stayed. Real-world persistence is a different measurement and this trial does not speak to it.

What are the serious risks recorded in the trial?

Serious adverse events occurred in 9.8% of the semaglutide arm and 6.4% of the placebo arm, a gap of 3.4 percentage points, with one death in each arm over 68 weeks. The trial's summary tables do not by themselves identify what drove the excess, and the label's specific warnings - gallbladder disease, pancreatitis, the thyroid C-cell boxed warning - are separate documents built on pooled data, which we cover on the [gallbladder](/side-effects/gallbladder), [pancreatitis](/side-effects/pancreatitis) and [thyroid](/side-effects/thyroid-cancer) pages.

Why does the adverse event database show so many reports that are not symptoms?

Because a large share of semaglutide use is not what the label describes. Of 73,001 reports, 7,325 name 'off label use' and 3,483 name 'product use in unapproved indication'; a further 3,016 name a wrong technique in the product usage process and 2,446 an inappropriate schedule of administration. Those four together outnumber nausea. The database cannot say whether a report describes a compounded vial, a brand product used for a purpose outside its indication, or a dosing mistake - but it records, in volume, that how this drug is being used is itself the thing people are reporting.

Is a review of semaglutide a review of one product?

No, and this is the practical problem with the question. Semaglutide is sold in the United States under five trade names across four FDA applications and two routes of administration - Ozempic injection, Ozempic tablets, Rybelsus, Wegovy in several presentations including Wegovy HD and Wegovy FlexTouch, and Wegovy tablets - with different indications, different dose ceilings and different prices. The oral and injected forms are not comparable doses of the same experience, as our [pill versus injection comparison](/compare/glp-1-pill-vs-injection) sets out. A review that does not say which product it is reviewing is describing a molecule, not a treatment.